Latest trade
Sep 27, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 9:19 PM UTC.
derf34 is down $10.22 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 27, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 9:19 PM UTC.
$82.99 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 50 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Jan 22, 2026 UTC to Sep 27, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 13.63 | $0.998 | $13.6 | 27d ago |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-01 06:10 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 21:19 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 21:19 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-01 06:10 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
100% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.13 on “Clippers vs. Magic” (Magic).
Its most recent trade on record was on 27 Sep 2026. It has traded 100 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 13.64 |
| $0.997 |
| $13.6 |
| Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9?No | buy | 88.09 | $0.999 | $88 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?No | buy | 88.09 | $0.999 | $88 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 84.98 | $0.999 | $84.9 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | buy | 84.88 | $0.999 | $84.8 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?No | buy | 84.08 | $0.999 | $84 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?No | buy | 84.08 | $0.999 | $84 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No | buy | 83.08 | $0.999 | $83 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
Will ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
Will Baidu have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.999 | $1.23 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 12?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.997 | $1.13 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 10?Yes | buy | 85.09 | $0.999 | $85 | May 9, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.999 | $1.2 | May 9, 2026 UTC |
Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.999 | $1.17 | May 9, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No | buy | 87.99 | $0.999 | $87.9 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 82.06 | $0.999 | $81.98 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?No | buy | 81.97 | $0.999 | $81.89 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
Will Solana dip to $30 in April?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.998 | $1.44 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.999 | $1.21 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 20?Yes | buy | 83.07 | $0.999 | $82.99 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.999 | $1.02 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 14?Yes | buy | 85.17 | $0.999 | $85.09 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 11?Yes | buy | 85.4 | $0.999 | $85.32 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?No | buy | 84.08 | $0.999 | $83.99 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.999 | $1.18 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | buy | 84.93 | $0.999 | $84.85 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 1?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.999 | $1.32 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.998 | $1.18 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 27?Yes | buy | 86.09 | $0.999 | $86 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 86.03 | $0.999 | $85.94 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 19?Yes | buy | 85.94 | $0.999 | $85.86 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 16?Yes | buy | 85.09 | $0.999 | $85 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 8?Yes | buy | 85.09 | $0.999 | $85 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 84.08 | $0.999 | $84 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on March 3?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.997 | $1.3 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.997 | $1.23 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 27?Yes | buy | 85.51 | $0.999 | $85.42 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.002 | $3 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10?No | buy | 88.42 | $0.999 | $88.33 | Feb 10, 2026 UTC |
Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.998 | $1.32 | Feb 10, 2026 UTC |
Spurs vs. WarriorsWarriors | buy | 41.67 | $0.360 | $15 | Feb 10, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 3?No | buy | 104.1 | $0.999 | $104 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 99.63 | $0.999 | $99.53 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in January 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.999 | $1.15 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.999 | $1.3 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 101.97 | $0.999 | $101.87 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No | buy | 101.3 | $0.997 | $101 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.