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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 49.64 | $0.056 | $2.78 | Sep 17, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 190 |
| $0.025 |
| $4.75 |
| Sep 16, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.65 | $0.958 | $6.37 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 166.19 | $0.620 | $103.04 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?No | buy | 105.21 | $0.986 | $103.74 | Jun 21, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 87.08 | $0.989 | $86.12 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 100.07 | $0.991 | $99.17 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 100.07 | $0.995 | $99.57 | Jun 15, 2025 |
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 78.51 | $0.996 | $78.2 | Jun 14, 2025 |
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 78.52 | $0.997 | $78.28 | Jun 13, 2025 |
Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 89.91 | $0.997 | $89.64 | Jun 12, 2025 |
Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 89.92 | $0.998 | $89.74 | Jun 11, 2025 |
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 102.43 | $0.995 | $101.92 | Jun 10, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.3 | $0.975 | $3.22 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 102.43 | $0.996 | $102.02 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 103.41 | $0.996 | $103 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 103.41 | $0.997 | $103.1 | Jun 6, 2025 |
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 93.59 | $0.995 | $93.12 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 93.59 | $0.996 | $93.22 | Jun 4, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 23–30?Yes | buy | 9.35 | $0.993 | $9.28 | May 30, 2025 |
Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 74.06 | $0.990 | $73.33 | May 30, 2025 |
Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 74.06 | $0.992 | $73.47 | May 29, 2025 |
Will Solana dip to $110 in May?No | buy | 18.89 | $0.996 | $18.81 | May 27, 2025 |
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 78.53 | $0.993 | $77.98 | May 26, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 23–30?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.997 | $4.25 | May 25, 2025 |
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 78.53 | $0.994 | $78.06 | May 24, 2025 |
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 74.26 | $0.998 | $74.11 | May 22, 2025 |
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 74.26 | $0.999 | $74.19 | May 20, 2025 |
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 12.53 | $0.998 | $12.5 | May 19, 2025 |
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 2.75 | $0.999 | $2.75 | May 16, 2025 |
Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 71.71 | $0.999 | $71.64 | May 13, 2025 |
Will Finland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes | buy | 7.11 | $0.993 | $7.06 | May 12, 2025 |
Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 70.21 | $0.996 | $69.93 | May 11, 2025 |
Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 70.21 | $0.998 | $70.07 | May 10, 2025 |
Will Nacionalista win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?No | buy | 8.42 | $0.999 | $8.41 | May 9, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.54 | $0.983 | $20.19 | May 7, 2025 |
Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor minority?No | buy | 4.03 | $0.999 | $4.03 | May 5, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 375–399 times April 25–May 2?No | buy | 6.93 | $0.999 | $6.92 | Apr 30, 2025 |
Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 36.14 | $0.996 | $36 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 41.12 | $0.999 | $41.08 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 36.15 | $0.997 | $36.04 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Will NDP win between 26 and 30 seats in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 7.31 | $0.996 | $7.28 | Apr 27, 2025 |
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 41.12 | $0.999 | $41.08 | Apr 26, 2025 |
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 54.64 | $0.995 | $54.37 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1300 and $1400 on Apr 25?No | buy | 4.36 | $0.999 | $4.36 | Apr 24, 2025 |
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 54.64 | $0.997 | $54.48 | Apr 24, 2025 |
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 48.17 | $0.997 | $48.03 | Apr 24, 2025 |
Will the Giants draft Jalen Milroe?No | buy | 8.46 | $0.999 | $8.45 | Apr 22, 2025 |
Will Travis Hunter be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?No | buy | 13.79 | $0.999 | $13.78 | Apr 21, 2025 |
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 48.18 | $0.998 | $48.08 | Apr 21, 2025 |