Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.350 | $8.75 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.180 |
| $1.8 |
| Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No | sell | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETUp | buy | 857.44 | $0.010 | $8.57 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.390 | $9.75 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.290 | $4.64 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?Yes | sell | 8.06 | $0.540 | $4.35 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.651 | $10.85 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 22.83 | $0.011 | $0.25 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.060 | $1.76 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 106.14 | $0.332 | $35.24 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 106.14 | $0.328 | $34.79 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | sell | 14.7 | $0.998 | $14.67 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETDown | buy | 133.36 | $0.075 | $9.98 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.110 | $9.17 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Yes | buy | 270.08 | $0.037 | $10 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | buy | 23.64 | $0.550 | $13 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 22.83 | $0.219 | $5 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 15?Yes | buy | 37.85 | $0.132 | $5 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.39 | $0.439 | $5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 32.29 | $0.089 | $2.87 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 172.41 | $0.029 | $5 | Mar 8, 2026 |