Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 2.26K | $0.982 | $2.22K | +$8.08 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 212.77 | $0.470 | $100 | 4h ago |
 |
| No |
| 656.15 |
| $0.838 |
| $644.67 |
| +$94.67 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 513.8 | $0.817 | $449.58 | +$29.58 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 443.98 | $0.788 | $415.12 | +$65.12 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 415.42 | $0.963 | $408.57 | +$8.57 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 416.67 | $0.960 | $407.08 | +$7.08 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 500 | $0.800 | $387.5 | -$12.5 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 429.54 | $0.931 | $356.09 | -$43.91 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 272.36 | $0.734 | $258.06 | +$58.06 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 343.66 | $0.713 | $245.71 | +$0.71 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 250.69 | $0.798 | $225.62 | +$25.62 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 224.78 | $0.890 | $218.37 | +$18.37 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 224.72 | $0.890 | $217.2 | +$17.19 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 246.91 | $0.810 | $206.17 | +$6.17 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 219.78 | $0.910 | $203.3 | +$3.3 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 135.14 | $0.370 | $110.14 | +$60.14 |
 Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 116.28 | $0.860 | $106.4 | +$6.4 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 212.77 | $0.470 | $96.81 | -$3.19 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2.36K | $0.040 | $67.37 | -$27.62 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.27K | $0.022 | $60.23 | +$10.23 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2K | $0.015 | $52 | +$22 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 78.13 | $0.640 | $41.02 | -$8.98 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 235.63 | $0.297 | $34.17 | -$35.83 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.027 | $33.02 | +$3.02 |
 Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 30.06 | $0.998 | $30.04 | +$0.05 |
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.800 |
| $400 |
| 22h ago |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 204.6 | $0.987 | $201.94 | 1d ago |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 507.1 | $0.986 | $500 | 7d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 429.54 | $0.931 | $400 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 506.07 | $0.988 | $500 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 416.67 | $0.960 | $400 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 628.51 | $0.996 | $626 | 10d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 204.6 | $0.978 | $200 | 13d ago |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 714.69 | $0.980 | $700.4 | 13d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 80.58 | $0.968 | $78 | 13d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?No | buy | 201.21 | $0.994 | $200 | 16d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 87.18 | $0.229 | $20 | 16d ago |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 304.59 | $0.981 | $298.8 | 16d ago |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 618.28 | $0.982 | $607 | 17d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 206.87 | $0.967 | $200 | 18d ago |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 321.38 | $0.980 | $314.95 | 18d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | 18d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 208.55 | $0.959 | $200 | 19d ago |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | 19d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 246.91 | $0.810 | $200 | 19d ago |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 352.94 | $0.930 | $328.23 | 19d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 78.13 | $0.640 | $50 | 19d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 134.59 | $0.743 | $100 | 20d ago |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 214.97 | $0.980 | $210.67 | 20d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 208.33 | $0.960 | $200 | 20d ago |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 233.66 | $0.980 | $228.99 | 20d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 492.96 | $0.994 | $490 | 20d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | 21d ago |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | 22d ago |
 Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 301.2 | $0.996 | $300 | 22d ago |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 200.8 | $0.996 | $200 | 22d ago |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 370.37 | $0.027 | $10 | 23d ago |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 387.36 | $0.981 | $380 | 26d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 210.53 | $0.950 | $200 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 102.77 | $0.973 | $100 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 102.77 | $0.973 | $100 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 193.32 | $0.470 | $90.86 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 204.55 | $0.489 | $100 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 105.04 | $0.952 | $100 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.400 | $50 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 219.78 | $0.910 | $200 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 220.29 | $0.980 | $215.88 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 207.26 | $0.980 | $203.11 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 421.88 | $0.960 | $405 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 403.77 | $0.980 | $395.69 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.024 | $2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.007 | $2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 102.99 | $0.971 | $100 | Jul 29, 2026 |