Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 518.8 | $0.200 | $103.76 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 501.59 |
| $0.030 |
| $15 |
| Dec 10, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | sell | 769.23 | $0.030 | $23.08 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Garrett Nussemeier win the Heisman Trophy?Yes | buy | 377.26 | $0.185 | $69.68 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 88.21 | $0.790 | $69.69 | Aug 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 88.21 | $0.710 | $62.63 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 387.61 | $0.155 | $60.05 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 387.62 | $0.258 | $100 | Jul 30, 2025 |