Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 28 Jan 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 28 Jan 2024 to 1 Feb 2024, the highest close was 6.5% on 28 Jan 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Feb 2024. $206.84K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 3:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 28 Jan 2024 – 1 Feb 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jan 2024 | 6.5% |
| 1 Feb 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @Zvbear (the Twitter/X user), whose real name is Zubear Abdi, is arrested by January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, however official information from the governments involved in any action against Zvbear and information from @Zvbear or their representatives will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/zvbear-arrested-before-february
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