Analytics
Resolved Serrano on 28 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Serrano at 50%. The Ochoa side opened at 50% on 19 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 19 Jun 2026 to 28 Jun 2026, the highest close was 66% on 24 Jun 2026 and the lowest 47.5% on 21 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 50% on 28 Jun 2026. $178.29 traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 29, 9:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Ochoa price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 19 Jun 2026 – 28 Jun 2026, chart shows 40%–70%
| Observed | Ochoa price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BOOKMAKER67 | Ochoa | 5.61 |
| BarbDrew | Ochoa | 4.55 |
| clemmentia | Ochoa | 4.35 |
| lioneserat | Ochoa | 3.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Ochoa" if Brady Ochoa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Adrian Serrano at Zuffa Boxing 8: De Los Santos vs. Valenzuela, scheduled for June 27, 2026. It will resolve to "Serrano" if Adrian Serrano is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.ufc.com/.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/zuffa-ochoa-serra-2026-06-27
| piepi | Ochoa | 3.63 |
| aguilaranim | Ochoa | 3.2 |
| Shyqa | Ochoa | 3.03 |
| monkees | Ochoa | 2.95 |
| linkidlinker | Ochoa | 2.5 |
| bikers132 | Ochoa | 2.12 |
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