Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jun 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 28% on 9 Mar 2023. Before it settled, across the 79 daily closes on record from 9 Mar 2023 to 2 Jun 2023 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53% on 17 Mar 2023 and the lowest 1% on 30 May 2023. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 16% on 25 Mar 2023. $80.2K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 3, 8:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 79 points, 9 Mar 2023 – 2 Jun 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Mar 2023 | 28.0% |
| 2 Jun 2023 | 1.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Kestrel 5594 | Yes | 301.17K |
| CFW | Yes | 1.2K |
| Wide-Clothing | Yes | 833.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on whether zkSync (https://zksync.io/) will both launch and airdrop a native token by June 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Launching a token in this context can be defined as a deployed-to-mainnet, actively transferrable and/or tradable token that is in some way native to the underlying application or protocol, and substantiated by the respective project via website or official social media channels. In the case of a token being announced but not yet transferrable or “live”, that will not satisfy market conditions. If the token is deployed to mainnet, but is not transferrable, that will also not satisfy market conditions. In the case of ERC20 tokens, if the token is deployed, but there is no existing Uniswap pool for the token, it will be considered not “live” and thus will not satisfy market conditions. For clarity, this market is about fungible tokens, and not NFTs related to a platform. Airdrop in this context means that a nonzero portion of this token’s supply must have been distributed for free to at least one subset of actors relevant to the underlying project, based on their retroactive, past participation in using the product or protocol, participating in the community, or some other non-transactional action that pertains to the underlying project. An airdrop is considered to have taken place if the aforementioned free token distribution occurs, regardless of lockups or restrictions on the ability to sell the airdropped token, as long as the underlying token itself is live as per the earlier definition. If this project launches a token and performs an airdrop by June 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If one or both of the objectives are not met by the resolution date, the market resolves to “No”.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/zksync-airdrop-by-june-1
| Yes |
| 500 |
| golf | Yes | 380.48 |
| Lumbering-Photodiode | Yes | 200 |
| Shocking-Dart | Yes | 200 |
| Severe-Mood | Yes | 166.67 |
| Coral Tide 7D49 | Yes | 145.77 |
| Chubby-Aspic | Yes | 122.57 |
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