Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94.5%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 20 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 20 Feb 2026 to 9 Mar 2026, the highest close was 21.5% on 20 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 2 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 1.5% on 22 Feb 2026.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 10, 8:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 20 Feb 2026 – 9 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | 21.5% |
| 9 Mar 2026 | 5.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| acal | Yes | 15K |
| wendypeekaboo | Yes | 2K |
| bjprolo | Yes | 99.99 |
| fang1957 | Yes | 80 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Yellow's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Yellow (https://x.com/Yellow) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/yellow-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 75 |
| spodkaposk | Yes | 60 |
| asfdt18 | Yes | 5.82 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 5 |
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