Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 87.7%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 20 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 22.5% on 20 Feb 2026 and the low 3.5% on 28 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 8.5% on 21 Feb 2026.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 10, 8:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 20 Feb 2026 – 9 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | 22.5% |
| 9 Mar 2026 | 12.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| acal | Yes | 400 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 149.99 |
| MCH | Yes | 145 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
| MJ-SOL | Yes | 83.96 |
| asfdt18 | Yes | 32.64 |
| PX5300 | Yes | 30 |
| tradexplorer | Yes | 0.05 |
| 13klklas | No | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Yellow's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Yellow (https://x.com/Yellow) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/yellow-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
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