Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.2%. Yes opened at 71% on 8 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 8 Feb 2024 to 1 Mar 2024, the highest close was 99.2% on 1 Mar 2024 and the lowest 71% on 8 Feb 2024. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 78% on 10 Feb 2024. $29.44K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 8 Feb 2024 – 1 Mar 2024, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2024 | 71.0% |
| 1 Mar 2024 | 99.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| yahoooo | Yes | 2.38 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the present leader of Hamas, Yahya Sinwar, remains free from government custody and active through February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/yahya-sinwar-still-at-large-through-february
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