Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 9 Apr 2024. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2024 to 1 May 2024, the highest close was 24.5% on 9 Apr 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 May 2024. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 4.5% on 10 Apr 2024. $13.61K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 9 Apr 2024 – 1 May 2024, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2024 | 24.5% |
| 1 May 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 123abc456xyz | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the X/Twitter app is banned for download and/or use by the majority of Brazilians in Brazil by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of Brazil, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/xtwitter-illegal-in-brazil-before-may
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