Analytics
Resolved Down on 25 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Down at 53%. Yes opened at 50% on 24 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 24 Feb 2026 to 25 Feb 2026, the highest close was 50% on 24 Feb 2026 and the lowest 47% on 25 Feb 2026. $3.79K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 26, 8:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 24 Feb 2026 – 25 Feb 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 25 Feb 2026 | 47.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| vedaresearch3 | Up | 389.47 |
| Anthony332 | Up | 263.45 |
| Harish234 | Up | 220.28 |
| Liliana876 | Up | 134.11 |
| Autumm43 | Up | 101.94 |
| bjprolo | Up | 99.99 |
| musklike | Up | 95 |
| Viviam | Up | 89.35 |
| Joiseph | Up | 70.36 |
| Prize-Motorboat | Up | 44 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the XRP price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream XRP/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/xrp-updown-4h-1771966800
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