
Resolved Down on 26 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Down at 62%. The Up side was at 50% at 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 5 price reads from 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 26 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, the highest read was 58% on 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC and the lowest 36.5% on 26 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. $1.68K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 4:02 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 25 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 26 Oct, 12:00 UTC, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 50.0% |
| 26 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 38.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Valet17 | Up | 45 |
| 196874353278 | Up | 10.16 |
| bjprolo | Up | 10 |
| henry85612 | Up | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Oct 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Oct 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/xrp-up-or-down-on-october-26-2026
| maras143 | Up | 3.33 |
| mlrbt | Up | 1.67 |
| oldcai | Down | 0.56 |
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