
Resolved Down on 24 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Down at 82.5%. The Up side opened at 50% on 23 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 17.5% on 24 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 17.5% on 24 Oct 2026. $3.57K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 17.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Summit 785E | Up | 256.41 |
| beoli | Up | 250 |
| pabloponssol | Up | 250 |
| Ramac | Up | 131.64 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Oct 23 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 24 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Oct 23 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 24 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/xrp-up-or-down-on-october-24-2026
| Ivory Harbor D226 | Up | 25.64 |
| HellsAngelx | Up | 13.84 |
| TENETENET | Up | 10 |
| bjprolo | Up | 10 |
| G008 | Up | 5 |
| peese | Up | 5 |
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