Analytics
The Up side is at 2%, down 48 points from 50% when the market opened on 21 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.9% on 22 Oct 2026.
$945.09 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $6.39K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 85 trades, $74.18 bought Up and $204.82 bought Down.
The largest Up position is Impressive-Steak with 295 shares; the largest Down position is Elastic-Mime with 478. Ten wallets hold 88.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 22 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 2:18 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 21 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 1.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Elastic-Mime | Down | 477.95 |
| Impressive-Steak | Up | 295.16 |
| vedaresearch.xrp | Up | 257.96 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Oct 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 22 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Oct 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 22 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/xrp-up-or-down-on-october-22-2026
| qqqppp-l1 | Up | 60 |
| Fufl0 | Up | 49 |
| oly-mm | Down | 49 |
| 196874353278 | Down | 37 |
| zxcursed121 | Up | 25 |
| a5533 | Up | 19.99 |
| Whf26 | Up | 19.97 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
