Analytics
Resolved Up on 21 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Up at 67.5%. The Up side opened at 50% on 20 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026, the highest close was 67.5% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 20 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 67.5% on 21 Oct 2026. $1.7K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 3:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 20 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–75%
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 67.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| beoli | Down | 433.86 |
| Solar Beacon 449C | Down | 306.11 |
| Impressive-Steak | Down | 55.5 |
| Super-Drain | Down | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Oct 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Oct 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/xrp-up-or-down-on-october-21-2026
| a5533 | Down | 20 |
| TENETENET | Down | 10 |
| bjprolo | Down | 10 |
| HellsAngelx | Down | 10 |
| peese | Down | 5 |
| triklozoid | Down | 5 |
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