
Resolved Up on 20 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Up at 60%. The Up side opened at 50% on 19 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 20 Oct 2026, the highest close was 60% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 19 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 60% on 20 Oct 2026. $3.5K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 3:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 20 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 60.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Oct 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 20 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Oct 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 20 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/xrp-up-or-down-on-october-20-2026
| bjprolo | Down | 10 |
| nwcmorpheus | Down | 5.1 |
| triklozoid | Down | 5 |
| 888-888 | Down | 1.85 |
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