Analytics
Resolved Down on 9 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Down at 64%. The Up side opened at 48% on 8 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 8 Jan 2026 to 9 Jan 2026, the highest close was 48% on 8 Jan 2026 and the lowest 36% on 9 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 36% on 9 Jan 2026. $57.2K traded over the market's life.
74 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 11, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 8 Jan 2026 – 9 Jan 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2026 | 48.0% |
| 9 Jan 2026 | 36.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| USSHalf-Kelly | Up | 254.36 |
| Zukko111 | Up | 190.19 |
| Jedlyk | Up | 100 |
| Cheekybacko | Up | 86.21 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Jan 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Jan 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/xrp-up-or-down-on-january-9
| dunangjiao | Up | 65.73 |
| yachengyan | Up | 65.73 |
| biyerong | Up | 65 |
| huangjiuhe | Up | 60.63 |
| tanpingxie | Up | 60.32 |
| qianmure | Up | 60.23 |
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