Analytics
Resolved Down on 8 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Down at 71.5%. The Up side opened at 50% on 7 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 7 Jan 2026 and the low 28.5% on 8 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 28.5% on 8 Jan 2026. $87.08K traded over the market's life.
137 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 10, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 7 Jan 2026 – 8 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 20%–60%
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 8 Jan 2026 | 28.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dirty-Raven | Up | 500.42 |
| TENETENET | Up | 500 |
| 9812380876543322 | Up | 459.98 |
| 16r0ob | Up | 333.04 |
| zhuohaonan | Up | 289.55 |
| zsab14 | Up | 285 |
| jiaohedi | Up | 284.74 |
| gouchuangna | Up | 284.25 |
| helutan | Up | 283.27 |
| mihuaiang | Up | 279.85 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Jan 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 8 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Jan 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 8 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/xrp-up-or-down-on-january-8
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