Analytics
Resolved Up on 14 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Up at 100%. The Up side opened at 50.5% on 12 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 14 Jan 2026 and the low 22% on 13 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 78 points up, to 100% on 14 Jan 2026. $40.17K traded over the market's life.
503 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 15, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 12 Jan 2026 – 14 Jan 2026
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jan 2026 | 50.5% |
| 14 Jan 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Outstanding-Gong | Down | 1K |
| william1102 | Down | 143.1 |
| JOJOMEIM | Down | 142.86 |
| Concrete-Cone | Down | 100 |
| hehebaby | Down | 100 |
| aslansalar | Down | 98.09 |
| tiancs | Down | 70 |
| ProbablyPomPom | Down | 50 |
| AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Down | 49.99 |
| 0xwon | Down | 40 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Jan 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Jan 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/xrp-up-or-down-on-january-13
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