Analytics
Resolved Down on 14 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Down at 54.5%. The Up side opened at 50% on 13 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2025 to 14 Dec 2025, the highest close was 50% on 13 Dec 2025 and the lowest 45.5% on 14 Dec 2025. $8.45K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 16, 12:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 13 Dec 2025 – 14 Dec 2025, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 14 Dec 2025 | 45.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Demon4uk | Up | 166.67 |
| Vvvzzz | Up | 160.32 |
| Valuable-Necessity | Up | 150 |
| lit58102 | Up | 150 |
| hehebaby | Up | 100 |
| mrbeo | Up | 100 |
| Puny-Wasp | Up | 100 |
| nw8 | Up | 95 |
| tiancs | Up | 60 |
| Plump-Rip | Up | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Dec 13 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 14 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Dec 13 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 14 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/xrp-up-or-down-on-december-14
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