Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 12 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 14 Oct 2025 and the low 0.5% on 18 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 12.5% on 16 Oct 2025. $3.83K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 4:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 12 Oct 2025 – 18 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2025 | 24.5% |
| 18 Oct 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lunar Lynx FE34 | Yes | 399.26 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 78.99 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 77 |
| aadvark | Yes | 53.09 |
| royyanrahmad1 | Yes | 50 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 9.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/xrp-above-on-october-18
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