
Resolved No on 22 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.7% on 16 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 16 Jan 2026 to 22 Jan 2026, the highest close was 1.8% on 17 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Jan 2026. $2.2K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 7:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 16 Jan 2026 – 22 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 | 1.7% |
| 22 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| yangguang0511 | Yes | 894.04 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 218 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 189 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 114.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/xrp-above-on-january-22
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 77 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 75 |
| 9735 | Yes | 50 |
| t189 | Yes | 50 |
| tiancs | Yes | 50 |
| 656yertr | Yes | 50 |
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