
Resolved Yes on 11 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 86% on 5 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 5 Jan 2026 to 11 Jan 2026, the highest close was 99.5% on 11 Jan 2026 and the lowest 86% on 5 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 97.7% on 6 Jan 2026. $9.2K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 5 Jan 2026 – 11 Jan 2026, chart shows 80%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jan 2026 | 86.0% |
| 11 Jan 2026 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | No | 499.98 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 424 |
| jingliaozhuang | No | 291.31 |
| nanpinbi | No | 291.11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/xrp-above-on-january-11
| chilumi | No | 288.33 |
| yoqiaoci | No | 282.04 |
| mihuaiang | No | 279.58 |
| leihuaihuang | No | 265.14 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 236.98 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 222 |
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