
Resolved Yes on 6 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 69.5% on 31 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 31 Dec 2025 to 6 Jan 2026, the highest close was 100% on 6 Jan 2026 and the lowest 62% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 96.3% on 3 Jan 2026. $7.14K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 7, 4:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 31 Dec 2025 – 6 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2025 | 69.5% |
| 6 Jan 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 466.98 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 442 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 254 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 236 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/xrp-above-on-january-6
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 122.07 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 98 |
| AsuraSmellsLikeASS | No | 50 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 15 |
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