
Resolved Yes on 18 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 12 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 12 Jan 2026 to 18 Jan 2026, the highest close was 100% on 18 Jan 2026 and the lowest 51.5% on 12 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 47 points up, to 98.5% on 13 Jan 2026. $6.44K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 12 Jan 2026 – 18 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jan 2026 | 51.5% |
| 18 Jan 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 517.98 |
| TENETENET | No | 500 |
| lansongci | No | 225.45 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 212 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/xrp-above-on-january-18
| luchexun | No | 183.33 |
| jiqianke | No | 167 |
| Massive-Molasses | No | 125 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 117.99 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 116 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 65 |
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