Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 49% on 22 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 22 Sep 2026 to 26 Sep 2026, the highest close was 49% on 22 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 49 points down, to 0.4% on 23 Sep 2026. $356.99 traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 26, 9:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 22 Sep 2026 – 26 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Sep 2026 | 49.0% |
| 26 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 426.85 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 149.98 |
| Untimely-Advertising | Yes | 100 |
| balthazar | Yes | 80.69 |
| MyRisk | Yes | 40.73 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 14 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 6 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House. This market will resolve according to the date, in Eastern Time, on which Xi Jinping physically departs from the United States. Departure is defined as the moment Xi Jinping leaves the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States, or the moment of take-off of an aircraft which contains Xi Jinping and subsequently lands outside of the United States. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or has not departed by that date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-xi-leave-the-usa-20260916
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