Analytics
Resolved USA on 19 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had USA at 81.5%. The USA side opened at 79.5% on 18 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 81.5% on 19 Feb 2026 and the low 79.5% on 18 Feb 2026. $1.02M traded over the market's life.
169 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 21, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the USA price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 18 Feb 2026 – 19 Feb 2026, chart shows 74%–86%
| Observed | USA price |
|---|---|
| 18 Feb 2026 | 79.5% |
| 19 Feb 2026 | 81.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| maldinifi | Canada | 47.64K |
| Sharpyyy | Canada | 40K |
| one8tyfive | Canada | 37.59K |
| 4qfrankie | Canada | 20K |
| Dcoss | Canada | 12.47K |
| roldy | Canada | 10K |
| ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD | Canada | 5.76K |
| Solar Oracle E319 | Canada | 5K |
| Xc76TH39YCPNGR23T4 | Canada | 2.54K |
| Karetha | Canada | 2.18K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming Women's Winter Olympics Hockey game, scheduled for 2026-02-19: If USA win, the market will resolve to "USA". If Canada win, the market will resolve to "Canada". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.olympics.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wwoh-usa-can-2026-02-19
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