Analytics
Resolved Naomi Osaka on 2 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Naomi Osaka at 77.5%. The Maria Timofeeva side opened at 21.5% on 1 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2026 to 2 Oct 2026, the highest close was 22.5% on 2 Oct 2026 and the lowest 21.5% on 1 Oct 2026. $698.02K traded over the market's life.
75 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 3, 11:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Maria Timofeeva price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 1 Oct 2026 – 2 Oct 2026, chart shows 15%–30%
| Observed | Maria Timofeeva price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | 21.5% |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 22.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kkunn | Maria Timofeeva | 45.03K |
| MilesY | Maria Timofeeva | 21.89K |
| SineNooneEI | Maria Timofeeva | 15K |
| Juan12345678 | Maria Timofeeva | 6.25K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Timofeeva and Naomi Osaka in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Timofeeva' if Maria Timofeeva advances against Naomi Osaka. This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Maria Timofeeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-timofee-osaka-2026-10-01
| CAcap | Maria Timofeeva | 3K |
| bogemika | Maria Timofeeva | 2.88K |
| Wiggly-Onion | Maria Timofeeva | 2.5K |
| Hooliganz | Maria Timofeeva | 2.03K |
| CandleHammerDrums | Maria Timofeeva | 1.82K |
| Insecure-Imitation | Maria Timofeeva | 1.5K |
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