Analytics
Resolved Mary Stoiana on 16 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Mary Stoiana at 43.5%. The Mary Stoiana side opened at 45% on 14 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 14 Sep 2026 to 16 Sep 2026, the highest close was 45.5% on 15 Sep 2026 and the lowest 43.5% on 16 Sep 2026. $628.2K traded over the market's life.
83 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 17, 6:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Mary Stoiana price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 14 Sep 2026 – 16 Sep 2026, chart shows 38%–50%
| Observed | Mary Stoiana price |
|---|---|
| 14 Sep 2026 | 45.0% |
| 16 Sep 2026 | 43.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RebornAthena | Claire Liu | 11.77K |
| Kkunn | Claire Liu | 6.67K |
| 88M | Claire Liu | 3K |
| phorma | Claire Liu | 1.38K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mary Stoiana and Claire Liu in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mary Stoiana' if Mary Stoiana advances against Claire Liu. This market will resolve to 'Claire Liu' if Claire Liu advances against Mary Stoiana. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-stoiana-liu-2026-09-14
| Roikk | Claire Liu | 1.33K |
| phatgentleman | Claire Liu | 759.94 |
| Indigo Falcon 3A7C | Claire Liu | 714 |
| rugmoney | Claire Liu | 667.76 |
| Quirky-Arrogance | Claire Liu | 638.3 |
| Quiet Vector 67A1 | Claire Liu | 400.66 |
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