Analytics
Resolved Stearns on 22 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Stearns at 56.5%. The Stearns side opened at 55.5% on 21 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 56.5% on 22 Jan 2026 and the low 55.5% on 21 Jan 2026. $56.59K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 23, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Stearns price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 21 Jan 2026 – 22 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 50%–62%
| Observed | Stearns price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 | 55.5% |
| 22 Jan 2026 | 56.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TKD44 | Marcinko | 11.56K |
| Misty Pioneer 652A | Marcinko | 2K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Marcinko | 380 |
| kaigenlee | Marcinko | 242.83 |
| notwitcheer | Marcinko | 113.64 |
| Baldor | Marcinko | 109.09 |
| BoughtTheTop | Marcinko | 94.16 |
| Emerald Pioneer C5D8 | Marcinko | 89 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Marcinko | 37 |
| paas2 | Marcinko | 30 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers on the tennis match between Peyton Stearns and Petra Marcinko in the Australian Open WTA, scheduled for January 21 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stearns' if Peyton Stearns advances against Petra Marcinko. This market will resolve to 'Marcinko' if Petra Marcinko advances against Peyton Stearns. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://ausopen.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-stearns-marcink-2026-01-22
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