Analytics
Resolved Iga Swiatek on 11 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Iga Swiatek at 95.5%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 10 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 27.5% on 10 Aug 2026 and the low 4.5% on 11 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 4.5% on 11 Aug 2026. $2.14M traded over the market's life.
144 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 12, 12:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 10 Aug 2026 – 11 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2026 | 27.5% |
| 11 Aug 2026 | 4.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Aged-Pacemaker | Diana Shnaider | 35.01K |
| AGUGava | Diana Shnaider | 35K |
| UpTheBlues | Diana Shnaider | 30.15K |
| Golden Sphinx BDB3 | Diana Shnaider | 15.59K |
| Glamorous-Intuition | Diana Shnaider | 5.61K |
| dsadsadas11 | Diana Shnaider | 4.55K |
| Cosmic Voyager 8792 | Diana Shnaider | 2.93K |
| Jarod21 | Diana Shnaider | 2.69K |
| Bagwell306 | Diana Shnaider | 2.5K |
| Lilybaeum | Diana Shnaider | 2.38K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Diana Shnaider and Iga Swiatek in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diana Shnaider' if Diana Shnaider advances against Iga Swiatek. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Diana Shnaider. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-shnaide-swiatek-2026-08-11
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