Analytics
Resolved Darja Semenistaja on 25 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Darja Semenistaja at 59%. The Darja Semenistaja side opened at 51% on 24 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 59% on 25 Aug 2026 and the low 51% on 24 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 59% on 25 Aug 2026. $48.51K traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 26, 11:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Darja Semenistaja price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 24 Aug 2026 – 25 Aug 2026 · axis zoomed to 45%–65%
| Observed | Darja Semenistaja price |
|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2026 | 51.0% |
| 25 Aug 2026 | 59.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Faithful-Jazz | Hayu Kinoshita | 5.7K |
| LaarsY | Hayu Kinoshita | 5K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Hayu Kinoshita | 2.51K |
| Lilybaeum | Hayu Kinoshita | 2.06K |
| wingwingwin | Hayu Kinoshita | 1.25K |
| thestingsnake | Hayu Kinoshita | 316.63 |
| Forkify-002 | Hayu Kinoshita | 265.71 |
| hii7 | Hayu Kinoshita | 238.5 |
| sweise | Hayu Kinoshita | 204.92 |
| shalevshalevmorag | Hayu Kinoshita | 84.16 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Darja Semenistaja and Hayu Kinoshita in the US Open, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darja Semenistaja' if Darja Semenistaja advances against Hayu Kinoshita. This market will resolve to 'Hayu Kinoshita' if Hayu Kinoshita advances against Darja Semenistaja. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-semenis-kinoshi-2026-08-25
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