
Resolved Sabalenka on 23 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Sabalenka at 95.5%. The Sabalenka side opened at 95% on 22 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 95.5% on 23 Jan 2026 and the low 95% on 22 Jan 2026. $148.45K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 24, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Sabalenka price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 22 Jan 2026 – 23 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 90%–100%
| Observed | Sabalenka price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2026 | 95.0% |
| 23 Jan 2026 | 95.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| synnet | Potapova | 21.1K |
| PaulToy | Potapova | 9K |
| tommyhearnss | Potapova | 1.56K |
| knedloveprovelo | Potapova | 838.71 |
| Garry997 | Potapova | 799.98 |
| Flawless-Leather | Potapova | 720.2 |
| minmoon | Potapova | 700 |
| ArbitrageFund | Potapova | 486 |
| semerkin | Potapova | 400 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Potapova | 373 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers on the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Anastasia Potapova in the Australian Open WTA, scheduled for January 21 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Anastasia Potapova. This market will resolve to 'Potapova' if Anastasia Potapova advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://ausopen.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-sabalen-potapov-2026-01-22
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page