Analytics
Resolved Naomi Osaka on 5 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Naomi Osaka at 32.5%. Yes opened at 67.5% on 4 Jul 2026. $1.59M traded over the market's life.
358 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 6, 8:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 4 Jul 2026 – 5 Jul 2026 · axis zoomed to 62%–74%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2026 | 67.5% |
| 5 Jul 2026 | 67.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| one8tyfive | Aryna Sabalenka | 60.6K |
| Plain-Apparatus-Acre | Aryna Sabalenka | 22.28K |
| comon119 | Aryna Sabalenka | 15K |
| 8a7sh2 | Aryna Sabalenka | 14K |
| BaccaratRoulette | Aryna Sabalenka | 13.61K |
| ArturitoFilito | Aryna Sabalenka | 10K |
| cradlle | Aryna Sabalenka | 10K |
| NoLimitRhino | Aryna Sabalenka | 9.28K |
| Kameko | Aryna Sabalenka | 8.31K |
| 03- | Aryna Sabalenka | 8.2K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Naomi Osaka in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Naomi Osaka. This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-sabalen-osaka-2026-07-05
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