Analytics
Resolved Aryna Sabalenka on 30 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Aryna Sabalenka at 10.5%. Yes opened at 90.5% on 29 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 90.5% on 29 May 2026 and the low 89.5% on 30 May 2026. $377.32K traded over the market's life.
131 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 31, 3:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 29 May 2026 – 30 May 2026, chart shows 84%–96%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 May 2026 | 90.5% |
| 30 May 2026 | 89.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | Daria Kasatkina | 8.04K |
| danny44 | Daria Kasatkina | 5.82K |
| Rafaeze | Daria Kasatkina | 5.72K |
| wingwingwin | Daria Kasatkina | 5K |
| gysh.qs | Daria Kasatkina | 4.03K |
| Pointless-Corps | Daria Kasatkina | 3.5K |
| hi774c | Daria Kasatkina | 3.4K |
| Troubled-Dysfunction-Lashes | Daria Kasatkina | 3.3K |
| Impish-Race | Daria Kasatkina | 3.18K |
| NewTeamSosed4 | Daria Kasatkina | 3K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Daria Kasatkina in the Roland Garros WTA, originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Daria Kasatkina. This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-sabalen-kasatki-2026-05-30
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