Analytics
Resolved Rybakina on 26 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Rybakina at 16%. Yes opened at 82.5% on 25 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 25 Jan 2026 to 26 Jan 2026, the highest close was 84% on 26 Jan 2026 and the lowest 82.5% on 25 Jan 2026. $492.2K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 27, 4:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 25 Jan 2026 – 26 Jan 2026, chart shows 78%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | 82.5% |
| 26 Jan 2026 | 84.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| theyseemeloosintheyhatin | Mertens | 55.56K |
| knedloveprovelo | Mertens | 8.35K |
| Wired | Mertens | 5K |
| shigmabets | Mertens | 2.22K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Elena Rybakina and Elise Mertens in the Australian Open WTA, scheduled for January 25 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Elise Mertens. This market will resolve to 'Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Elena Rybakina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-rybakin-mertens-2026-01-26
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| kiinndz | Mertens | 1K |
| TelegramTeleblog | Mertens | 791.23 |
| Emerald Vector EA51 | Mertens | 390.9 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Mertens | 375.99 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Mertens | 349 |
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