Analytics
Resolved Alina Charaeva on 3 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Alina Charaeva at 6.5%. The Elena Rybakina side opened at 95.5% on 2 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 95.5% on 2 Oct 2026 and the low 93.5% on 3 Oct 2026. $1.29M traded over the market's life.
186 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 4, 3:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Elena Rybakina price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 3 Oct 2026, chart shows 88%–100%
| Observed | Elena Rybakina price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 95.5% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | 93.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| itb08081982 | Elena Rybakina | 100K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Elena Rybakina | 72.27K |
| albumista | Elena Rybakina | 64.04K |
| HVAB | Elena Rybakina | 29.01K |
| 5551ab | Elena Rybakina | 25.46K |
| cube13 | Elena Rybakina | 20.29K |
| 88M | Elena Rybakina | 15.19K |
| KevinEZM427 | Elena Rybakina | 12.58K |
| rplc-ftbl | Elena Rybakina | 10.91K |
| dancedancer | Elena Rybakina | 8.12K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Rybakina and Alina Charaeva in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Alina Charaeva. This market will resolve to 'Alina Charaeva' if Alina Charaeva advances against Elena Rybakina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-rybakin-charaev-2026-10-01
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