Analytics
Resolved Cirstea on 2 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Cirstea at 68%. Yes opened at 50% on 31 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 31 Jan 2026 to 2 Feb 2026, the highest close was 50% on 31 Jan 2026 and the lowest 29% on 1 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 29% on 1 Feb 2026. $58.37K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 4, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 31 Jan 2026 – 2 Feb 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 2 Feb 2026 | 32.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mokafat | Rakhimova | 4.19K |
| vladimir07 | Rakhimova | 1K |
| Ampsterdam | Rakhimova | 999.99 |
| Bagwell306 | Rakhimova | 273.53 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Kamilla Rakhimova and Sorana Cirstea in the Transylvania Open, scheduled for February 1 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rakhimova' if Kamilla Rakhimova advances against Sorana Cirstea. This market will resolve to 'Cirstea' if Sorana Cirstea advances against Kamilla Rakhimova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-rakhimo-cirstea-2026-02-01
| Yaneradio | Rakhimova | 55 |
| apollobetter | Rakhimova | 32.19 |
| Forsaken-Barium | Rakhimova | 22.38 |
| Lunar Pulse 505C | Rakhimova | 16.57 |
| Foxo | Rakhimova | 12.31 |
| ProvadFirucio | Rakhimova | 10 |
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