Analytics
Resolved Bai on 18 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Bai at 40.5%. The Pavlyuchenkova side opened at 50% on 16 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 59.5% on 17 Jan 2026 and the low 50% on 16 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 59.5% on 17 Jan 2026. $143.84K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 4:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Pavlyuchenkova price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 16 Jan 2026 – 18 Jan 2026, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Pavlyuchenkova price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 18 Jan 2026 | 59.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RebornAthena | Pavlyuchenkova | 3.58K |
| MattJackson | Pavlyuchenkova | 3.26K |
| Complicated-Questioner | Pavlyuchenkova | 2.06K |
| MaksTrader | Pavlyuchenkova | 1.86K |
| Amor.Fati | Pavlyuchenkova | 800.11 |
| roon49 | Pavlyuchenkova | 690 |
| chobanilounge | Pavlyuchenkova | 451 |
| jiushiganpro | Pavlyuchenkova | 142.79 |
| clviomsto | Pavlyuchenkova | 73.26 |
| Vangod0810 | Pavlyuchenkova | 39.42 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers on the tennis match between Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova and Zhuoxuan Bai in the Australian Open WTA, scheduled for January 17 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavlyuchenkova' if Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova advances against Zhuoxuan Bai. This market will resolve to 'Bai' if Zhuoxuan Bai advances against Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://ausopen.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-pavlyuc-bai-2026-01-18
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