Analytics
Resolved Jasmine Paolini on 4 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Jasmine Paolini at 45.5%. Yes opened at 54.5% on 3 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2026 to 4 Jul 2026, the price held at 54.5%. $207.38K traded over the market's life.
64 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 5, 2:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 3 Jul 2026 – 4 Jul 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2026 | 54.5% |
| 4 Jul 2026 | 54.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Comfortable-Sponsor | Maria Sakkari | 10K |
| Faithful-Jazz | Maria Sakkari | 7.58K |
| nononononoononono | Maria Sakkari | 6.25K |
| NewTeamSosed2 | Maria Sakkari | 3.57K |
| 3cc10965ede | Maria Sakkari | 1K |
| rabbitcaps | Maria Sakkari | 746.57 |
| RedPartizan | Maria Sakkari | 678.11 |
| Impish-Race | Maria Sakkari | 666.67 |
| eanvanezygv | Maria Sakkari | 431.6 |
| Executor398 | Maria Sakkari | 400 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jasmine Paolini and Maria Sakkari in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jasmine Paolini' if Jasmine Paolini advances against Maria Sakkari. This market will resolve to 'Maria Sakkari' if Maria Sakkari advances against Jasmine Paolini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-paolini-sakkari-2026-07-04
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
