Analytics
Resolved Naomi Osaka on 23 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Naomi Osaka at 50.5%. The Camila Osorio side opened at 42.5% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 23 Apr 2026 and the low 42.5% on 22 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points up, to 49.5% on 23 Apr 2026. $260.72K traded over the market's life.
71 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 24, 8:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Camila Osorio price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 23 Apr 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Camila Osorio price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 42.5% |
| 23 Apr 2026 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jmm20 | Camila Osorio | 17.17K |
| lobbb1 | Camila Osorio | 4.25K |
| Neigel | Camila Osorio | 3.94K |
| maxgreen | Camila Osorio | 3.11K |
| alm19911 | Camila Osorio | 1.44K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Camila Osorio | 1.39K |
| dikkedakke | Camila Osorio | 1.28K |
| Laurendea | Camila Osorio | 1.18K |
| Keen Falcon D40C | Camila Osorio | 1.01K |
| blindsamsam | Camila Osorio | 766.71 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Camila Osorio and Naomi Osaka in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camila Osorio' if Camila Osorio advances against Naomi Osaka. This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Camila Osorio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-osorio-osaka-2026-04-23
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