Analytics
Resolved Karolina Muchova on 3 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Karolina Muchova at 10.5%. Yes opened at 88.5% on 2 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 89.5% on 3 Jul 2026 and the low 88.5% on 2 Jul 2026. $225.49K traded over the market's life.
59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 4, 6:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 3 Jul 2026, chart shows 84%–94%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 88.5% |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 89.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SineNooneEI | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 16.53K |
| Impish-Race | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 8.21K |
| Intelligent-Nature | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 7.52K |
| ThisaccountisaW | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 5.5K |
| nononononoononono | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 4.22K |
| Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 3.38K |
| Izxat | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 3.1K |
| Easy-Ambulance | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 1.48K |
| Old-Hurt-Sailboat | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 1.41K |
| Faithful-Jazz | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 1.36K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Mananchaya Sawangkaew in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Mananchaya Sawangkaew. This market will resolve to 'Mananchaya Sawangkaew' if Mananchaya Sawangkaew advances against Karolina Muchova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-muchova-sawangk-2026-07-03
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