Analytics
Resolved Karolina Muchova on 6 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Karolina Muchova at 57.5%. The Karolina Muchova side opened at 56% on 5 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 5 Oct 2026 to 6 Oct 2026, the highest close was 57.5% on 6 Oct 2026 and the lowest 56% on 5 Oct 2026. $659.58K traded over the market's life.
184 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 10:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Karolina Muchova price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 5 Oct 2026 – 6 Oct 2026, chart shows 50%–62%
| Observed | Karolina Muchova price |
|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2026 | 56.0% |
| 6 Oct 2026 | 57.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JAMJAMJAM4 | Naomi Osaka | 10.5K |
| ghostorder | Naomi Osaka | 6.43K |
| nostrilboozie | Naomi Osaka | 4.55K |
| AnonymousUsername | Naomi Osaka | 3.91K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Naomi Osaka in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Naomi Osaka. This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Karolina Muchova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-muchova-osaka-2026-10-05
| 0x2022x | Naomi Osaka | 3.67K |
| Kangta6365 | Naomi Osaka | 2.62K |
| Exalted-Evocation | Naomi Osaka | 2.04K |
| Lermo16032022 | Naomi Osaka | 1.88K |
| dsdsgfgfs | Naomi Osaka | 1.79K |
| LCN99 | Naomi Osaka | 1.54K |
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