Analytics
Resolved Karolina Muchova on 9 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Karolina Muchova at 48.5%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 8 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 8 Jul 2026 to 9 Jul 2026, the price held at 51.5%. $4.19M traded over the market's life.
414 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 10, 3:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 8 Jul 2026 – 9 Jul 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jul 2026 | 51.5% |
| 9 Jul 2026 | 51.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Coco Gauff | 248.85K |
| Dense-Philosopher-Loincloth | Coco Gauff | 98.54K |
| Kch-Temp | Coco Gauff | 80K |
| NiNo713 | Coco Gauff | 57.98K |
| ArturitoFilito | Coco Gauff | 40.1K |
| AGUGava | Coco Gauff | 32.8K |
| 123abc | Coco Gauff | 29.89K |
| Vetch | Coco Gauff | 29.86K |
| MD14 | Coco Gauff | 29.68K |
| Tokenn | Coco Gauff | 25K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Coco Gauff in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Coco Gauff. This market will resolve to 'Coco Gauff' if Coco Gauff advances against Karolina Muchova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-muchova-gauff-2026-07-09
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