Analytics
Resolved Nikola Bartunkova on 8 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Nikola Bartunkova at 30.5%. The Karolina Muchova side opened at 69.5% on 7 Oct 2026. $549.15K traded over the market's life.
154 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 9, 8:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Karolina Muchova price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 7 Oct 2026 – 8 Oct 2026, chart shows 64%–76%
| Observed | Karolina Muchova price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | 69.5% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 69.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Luzzzer | Karolina Muchova | 59.96K |
| Illiasca | Karolina Muchova | 14.03K |
| isco22 | Karolina Muchova | 11.1K |
| lavendergooms | Karolina Muchova | 9.7K |
| Substantial-Service | Karolina Muchova | 7.9K |
| 0x0x23kjookhaiuohduoayh8c9 | Karolina Muchova | 7.25K |
| vladiva | Karolina Muchova | 4.28K |
| MayaE | Karolina Muchova | 3.57K |
| pltrkr111 | Karolina Muchova | 2.9K |
| sentrio | Karolina Muchova | 2.55K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Nikola Bartunkova in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Nikola Bartunkova. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Bartunkova' if Nikola Bartunkova advances against Karolina Muchova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-muchova-bartunk-2026-10-07
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
