Analytics
Resolved Elise Mertens on 4 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Elise Mertens at 79.5%. Yes opened at 19% on 3 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 20.5% on 4 Jul 2026 and the low 19% on 3 Jul 2026. $332.06K traded over the market's life.
145 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 5, 2:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 3 Jul 2026 – 4 Jul 2026, chart shows 14%–26%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2026 | 19.0% |
| 4 Jul 2026 | 20.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| drrd | Elena Rybakina | 12.2K |
| alaskabaked | Elena Rybakina | 10.42K |
| Satisfied-Manner-Seabass | Elena Rybakina | 6.85K |
| comon119 | Elena Rybakina | 6.48K |
| mkj | Elena Rybakina | 3K |
| degenfren | Elena Rybakina | 2K |
| Quiet Vector 5E33 | Elena Rybakina | 1.92K |
| KevinEZM427 | Elena Rybakina | 1.62K |
| Hoch | Elena Rybakina | 1.25K |
| ShunTheNonBeliever. | Elena Rybakina | 1.12K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Elise Mertens and Elena Rybakina in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Elena Rybakina. This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Elise Mertens. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-mertens-rybakin-2026-07-04
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