Analytics
Resolved Leonard on 17 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Leonard at 60.5%. The Leonard side opened at 51% on 15 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 15 Feb 2026 to 17 Feb 2026, the highest close was 60.5% on 17 Feb 2026 and the lowest 51% on 15 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 57.5% on 16 Feb 2026. $35.45K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 18, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Leonard price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 15 Feb 2026 – 17 Feb 2026, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Leonard price |
|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | 51.0% |
| 17 Feb 2026 | 60.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mq33dred | Serban | 831 |
| Bienville | Serban | 272.31 |
| roon49 | Serban | 250 |
| Worrisome-Stumbling | Serban | 79.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Manon Leonard and Raluca Serban in the Les Sables d'Olonne, scheduled for February 16 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leonard' if Manon Leonard advances against Raluca Serban. This market will resolve to 'Serban' if Raluca Serban advances against Manon Leonard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-leonard-serban-2026-02-16
| NazarCakir | Serban | 56.41 |
| paas2 | Serban | 30 |
| flexproblem | Serban | 19.23 |
| siriate | Serban | 15 |
| gandalf.dk | Serban | 5.01 |
| davisPlanktoni | Serban | 5 |
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