Analytics
Resolved Sinja Kraus on 7 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Sinja Kraus at 45.5%. Yes opened at 42% on 6 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 6 Jul 2026 to 7 Jul 2026, the highest close was 54.5% on 7 Jul 2026 and the lowest 42% on 6 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 54.5% on 7 Jul 2026. $226.85K traded over the market's life.
66 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 8, 1:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 6 Jul 2026 – 7 Jul 2026, chart shows 35%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jul 2026 | 42.0% |
| 7 Jul 2026 | 54.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ScoonS85 | Claire Liu | 4.83K |
| Solar Signal 18B8 | Claire Liu | 2.03K |
| Impish-Race | Claire Liu | 1.65K |
| GC-P | Claire Liu | 724.52 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sinja Kraus and Claire Liu in the Bastad, originally scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sinja Kraus' if Sinja Kraus advances against Claire Liu. This market will resolve to 'Claire Liu' if Claire Liu advances against Sinja Kraus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-kraus-liu-2026-07-06
| GUINESS123 | Claire Liu | 693 |
| Frightening-Start | Claire Liu | 590.96 |
| NM-P | Claire Liu | 464.91 |
| Supppppppppp | Claire Liu | 454.77 |
| dex57 | Claire Liu | 324.07 |
| TE2137 | Claire Liu | 219.63 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
